Trials and Progress Prediction of Covid-19 Vaccine Using Linear Regression and SIR Parameters

  • Ananda Aulia Rizky Institut Teknologi Telkom Purwokerto
  • Novi Rahmawati Institut Teknologi Telkom Purwokerto
  • Adil El-Faruqi Institut Teknologi Telkom Purwokerto
  • Faisal Dharma Adhinata Institut Teknologi Telkom Purwokerto
  • Nur Ghaniaviyanto Ramadhan Institut Teknologi Telkom Purwokerto
Abstract views: 191 , 594 downloads: 198
Keywords: COVID-19, Vaccine, Linear Regression, SIR

Abstract

This study aims to elucidate the worldwide effectiveness of the COVID-19 vaccine to reduce the number of COVID-19 patients. Currently, almost all countries in the world are trying to overcome COVID-19 by imposing a lockdown system. The government is also looking for a solution to suppress the spread of COVID-19 by administering a vaccine. Vaccination is one of the efforts that are considered effective in overcoming COVID-19 in affected countries. At least 85 types of vaccines are still in the development stage, while the vaccines that have been agreed upon are Pfizer-Biotech messenger RNA vaccines (bnt162b2) and Moderna (mRNA-1273). The hope is that the COVID-19 outbreak can be handled immediately to restore the residents' economy with vaccination. The methodology used in this study uses data mining with linear regression and SIR techniques to evaluate whether circulating vaccines can effectively suppress the spread of COVID-19.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

References

[1] A. Susilo et al., “Coronavirus Disease 2019: Tinjauan Literatur Terkini,” J. Penyakit Dalam Indones., vol. 7, no. 1, p. 45, 2020, doi: 10.7454/jpdi.v7i1.415.
[2] A. Senapati, S. Maji, and A. Mondal, “Piece-wise linear regression: A new approach to predict COVID-19 spreading,” IOP Conf. Ser. Mater. Sci. Eng., vol. 1020, no. 1, 2021, doi: 10.1088/1757-899X/1020/1/012017.
[3] I. Hajj Hussein et al., “Vaccines Through Centuries: Major Cornerstones of Global Health,” Front. Public Heal., vol. 3, no. January 2016, 2015, doi: 10.3389/fpubh.2015.00269.
[4] D. Cucinotta and M. Vanelli, “WHO declares COVID-19 a pandemic,” Acta Biomed., vol. 91, no. 1, pp. 157–160, 2020, doi: 10.23750/abm.v91i1.9397.
[5] C. Zimmer, J. Corum, and S. L. Wee, “Coronavirus vaccine tracker. The New York Times,” 2020.
[6] S. Budi, “Data Mining:‘Data Mining Teknik Pemanfaatan Data Untuk Keperluan Bisnis.’” Teori dan Aplikasi. Graha Ilmu Yogyakarta. Buku, 2007.
[7] R. Aggarwal and P. Ranganathan, “Common pitfalls in statistical analysis: Linear regression analysis,” Perspect. Clin. Res., vol. 8, no. 2, pp. 100–102, 2017, doi: 10.4103/2229-3485.203040.
[8] Worldmeter.com, “COVID Live Update: 186,356,010 Cases and 4,026,894 Deaths from the Coronavirus.” 2021, [Online]. Available: https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/.
[9] T. H. Iman Mustofa Kamal and R. Ilyas, “Prediksi Penjualan Buku Menggunakan Data Mining Di Pt. Niaga Swadaya,” Seminar Nasional Teknologi Informasi & Multimedia, vol. 02, no. February. pp. 49–54, 2017.
[10] H. W. Herwanto, T. Widiyaningtyas, and P. Indriana, “Penerapan Algoritme Linear Regression untuk Prediksi Hasil Panen Tanaman Padi,” J. Nas. Tek. Elektro dan Teknol. Inf., vol. 8, no. 4, p. 364, 2019, doi: 10.22146/jnteti.v8i4.537.
[11] I. A. M. Rosyid, R. Respatiwulan, and S. S. Handajani, “Model Penyebaran Penyakit SIR Tipe Rantai Binomial dengan Kontak Random dan Waktu Penyembuhan Bernilai Tak Hingga,” Indones. J. Appl. Stat., vol. 3, no. 2, p. 132, 2021, doi: 10.13057/ijas.v3i2.44307.
[12] S. Hulu, “Analisis Kinerja Metode Cross Validation Dan K-Nearest Neighbor Dalam Klasifikasi Data,” Fak. Ilmu Komput. dan Teknol. Inf. Univ. Sumatera Utara, vol. 1, no. 1, pp. 1–77, 2020.
[13] A. A. Gofur and U. D. Widianti, “Sistem Peramalan Untuk Pengadaan Material Unit Injection Di Pt. Xyz,” Komputa J. Ilm. Komput. dan Inform., vol. 2, no. 2, 2015, doi: 10.34010/komputa.v2i2.86.
Published
2021-12-31
How to Cite
Rizky, A. A., Rahmawati, N., El-Faruqi, A., Adhinata, F. D., & Ramadhan, N. G. (2021). Trials and Progress Prediction of Covid-19 Vaccine Using Linear Regression and SIR Parameters. Indonesia Journal on Computing (Indo-JC), 6(3), 35-46. https://doi.org/10.34818/INDOJC.2021.6.3.594
Section
Computer Science